Skip to content. Author : Steven W. Author : David B. Author : Robert J. Author : David C. It does not alert us to the possibility that the risk in Asia might be increased through the effects of American policy. The book does, however, give us a framework to view events in Asia and a model by which we can assess how risk increases and decreases.
The issue of North Korea is dominating our current thinking, but there are all sorts of unresolved disputes over the sovereignty of various rocks, islands, and reefs that could suddenly become volatile. This could be exacerbated by the twin forces of ethnic conflicts and nationalism, which overlay various historical grievances.
Just because the past 50 years have been relatively conflict free does not mean that we can assume that the next 50 years will be conflict free as well. The book is a useful corrective to a blindspot in our current thinking. The analysis of the causes has much to commend it, as does the analytical framework to interpret events and the model by which risk can be assessed. The prescriptions leave a lot to be desired, but at least we have a vocabulary by which we can discuss the various options.
The book provides valuable insights into Asia's present and future. A great book for anyone who is looking for an introduction and an opinion about potential outcomes of the region. I love books like these, in which a writer takes a sliver of the globe and travels around to the various countries therein, discussing their population, government, geography, etc.
Robert Kaplan is the master of this, but Auslin's book should not be considered inferior to his there's even a Kaplan blurb on the front flap.
Granted, Auslin's "sliver" is pretty large, but he still does a good job. He organizes his book by theme, not country, so there is some overlap how many ways can you express the diversity of India? Quite a few, evidently. He starts with economic prospects, then demography, then political outlook, then regional power politics, then military considerations. He then closes with some recommendations that are pretty anodyne but also wise : greater American closeness with democratic allies; freer trade; recognition of Chinese malfeasance, especially with intellectual property theft, for example.
Auslin set out to write an optimistic book, but his travels and studies forced him to realize that perhaps optimism is not what is called for. He recognizes great potential, but also great weakness Chinese political illegitimacy, below-replacement birth levels in China and Japan, inability to stamp out corruption or expand infrastructure in Japan, political weakness in Indonesia, etc. And of course, some questions hover over everything: what if North Korea decides to get some use out of its nuclear ICBMs?
What if China decides to attempt to retake Taiwan by force? What if a hot war breaks out on the India-Pakistan border? Notice that these are all military wild cards--you would think these countries would realize how much they have to lose in going this route, but other considerations will exert a powerful effect. All in all, a great read. I'd love to read such a work on any region of the world!
Dave Schoettinger. The dust jacket tells us that Michael Auslin was a faculty member at Yale who now labors for the American Enterprise Institute. This may explain the passage in the book that begins with the observation that when the average American thinks about Asia, he thinks about economic growth. However, this observation does provide insight into where Professor Auslin is coming from and who the intended audience for this book may be.
It's possible that five or six years ago some hedge fund manager told Auslin, "I'm putting all my money in Asia. What could go wrong? The message that the author wants to convey is that the predictions of the economic dominance of Asia in general and China in particular may be premature. It turns out that China is more than a billion people trying to steal your job. Who knew? I just threw out that tidbit as a teaser. There are many other insights in this book as to what the other half of the world is up to.
It appears that Professor Auslin wrote the bulk of this volume in or early This becomes apparent when he discusses the Trans Pacific Partnership TPP of which he is a big fan and the implementation of which he sees as pretty much a given because who could not understand the benefits involved for everyone but China.
Turns out there were many who did not understand and now the paragraphs he devotes to the TPP and its fortunate results read like those passages written in the s that assumed by the early 21st century we would all have flying cars, only more poignant.
Author 10 books 34 followers. It's naive to super-aggregate a continent as large and diverse as Asia, and it's a bigger mistake to cherry pick the many developments on the continent and use it as an argument for your world view or, worse, why everything is going to be okay and no one needs to worry.
I am grateful to Auslin for calling out the overly bullish prognostications of what self-proclaimed experts on Asia see in the mid-term future. While there's plenty of potential, overlooking the obvious weaknesses will make for a shocking wake up call, of the kind the world experienced after the Paper Tigers nearly disintegrated in and There is no one country in the region that is not without a threat of long-term or short-term instability, and the threats are diverse.
Environmental degradation, overpopulation, an aging population, a labor glut, a labor shortage, heavy handed dictators, weak central governments, shocking poverty, and wealth imbalances are just a few.
Political instability is rife throughout the region, and not only in North Korea; India and China, the two countries Americans most frequently associate with business opportunities in the region, have a long history of tension, both with each other and within their borders. There has been some discussion in other reviews about the extent to which Asia has taken our jobs.
Asia has taken some jobs, but even as manufacturing enjoys a resurgence in this country, the jobs that left are not coming back. However, this isn't due to the underpriced Chinese or rather Vietnamese, or rather Kyrgysztan And while robotics and automation may be something of a poison pill in the United States, it may soon become essential for the aging populations of Japan, who don't have enough young people to replace the workers who will be aging out of their workforce.
One wonders if the same may be said soon of South Korea. Auslin does an excellent job presenting the threats in his risk analysis. The reason I took off a star is because his writing was off-putting, though I'm having trouble describing how.
It was neither too erudite nor disrespectfully conversational, but he seemed to depend on certain phrases and words and after a few chapters it became jarring. I think he and his editors were aiming for a middle ground but couldn't quite find it. Otherwise, this is a useful, although now slightly outdated book e.
Displaying 1 - 10 of 25 reviews. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe but only if it acts boldly.
Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin s provocative reassessment of Asia s future will be a must-read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
In this collection of essays, we reflect on what it means to practise the social sciences in the twenty-first century. The book brings together leading social scientists from the Asia-Pacific region.
We argue for the benefit of dialogue between the diverse theories and methods of social sciences in the region, the role of the social sciences in addressing real-world problems, the need to transcend national boundaries in addressing regional problems, and the challenges for an increasingly globalised higher education sector in the twenty-first century. The chapters are a combination of theoretical reflections and locally focused case studies of processes that are embedded in global dynamics and the changing geopolitics of knowledge.
In an increasingly connected world, these reflections will be of global relevance. This book explains the macro-drivers of growth behind the economic development of Bangladesh. Few countries in the developing world have shown as exciting a promise of economic prosperity as Bangladesh.
The promising nature of the Bangladeshi economy raises interesting questions pertaining to whether good governance may lead to sustained economic growth. This book looks at the strategic interventions on macro-level, specifically the policy interventions.
This book will be a useful reference to making sense how economic transformation can be strengthened through state-sponsored activities and how states can inculcate a culture of innovation which can be regarded as one of the underpinnings of economic growth. Author : Abraham M.
Yet as China grows more powerful and aggressive and the United States appears increasingly unreliable, the Indo-Pacific has become riven with uncertainty. Strategy in the Asian Century offers vital perspective on the future of power dynamics in the Indo-Pacific, focusing on the critical roles that American allies and partners can play. Abraham M. Denmark argues that these alliances and partnerships represent indispensable strategic assets for the United States.
They will be necessary in any effort by Washington to compete with China, promote prosperity, and preserve a liberal order in the Indo-Pacific. Blending academic rigor and practical policy experience, Denmark analyzes the future of major-power competition in the region, with an eye toward American security interests.
He details a pragmatic approach for the United States to harness the power of its allies and partners to ensure long-term regional stability and successfully navigate the complexities of the new era. Given its geographical proximity to Asia and its close alliance with the West, Australia, amid the rise of Asian economies, needs to re-formulate its policies on trade, investment and security. Over the years, in making decisions on issues relating to trade, investment and security, the Australian government has often resorted to the notion of 'national interest'.
This book fills the gap with a broad and integrated approach in examining the subject. Academics, researchers, and students of various disciplines such as economics, finance, international relations, international trade, foreign direct investment and Asian studies , policy advisors, government agencies, financial institutions, and trade law practitioners from around the world will find this book useful and stimulating.
Author : Christopher Hill,Rozilini M. There is increasing interest in the Asian arena; both as a home for the delivery of international higher education and as a breeding ground for a new brand of sustainable domestic and international growth.
Academics are increasingly turning to Asia and Asian Education in order to better understand and predict the emerging trends of global education and this book will serve to provide a forum for debate of this nature.
The book provides an insight into the interplay of Asian and European education, identifies the key areas for further development and firmly grounds the approach as one of conversation and dialogue, rather than one-sided dictation. It also highlights the critical issues within the development of international education, discusses the value and challenges of existing TNE practices as a mechanism to respond to the emerging Asian needs and provides an insight into the future direction of education in the Asian century.
It is a powerful antidote to the Asiaphoria that dominates conventional wisdom. Summers, former U. Michael Auslin's thoughtful new book explains why. It's a must-read for anyone who wants to go beyond today's oversimplified sloganeering. Michael V. In a bold and provocative book that is sure to spark debate, Michael Auslin challenges that old thinking by showing that Asia risks a calamitous descent into conflict and economic turmoil.
Written with grace and insight, The End of the Asian Century is must reading for anyone interested not just in Asia but in geopolitics more broadly. Authored by a longtime China watcher and a key figure in shaping President Donald J. Trump's China policy, it has also been translated and read by Chinese An older treatment is Alastair Iain Skip to content.
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